

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 64.81%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 16.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 3-1 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | St Louis City | 
| 64.81% ( | 18.57% ( | 16.62% ( | 
| Both teams to score 60.71% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 67.14% ( | 32.86% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 45.44% ( | 54.56% ( | 
| Inter Miami Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 90.42% ( | 9.58% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 67.95% ( | 32.05% ( | 
| St Louis City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.15% ( | 32.85% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.58% ( | 69.42% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Inter Miami | Draw | St Louis City | 
| 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 2-0 @ 8.66% ( 3-1 @ 7.53% ( 1-0 @ 7.38% ( 3-0 @ 6.77% ( 4-1 @ 4.42% ( 3-2 @ 4.19% ( 4-0 @ 3.97% ( 4-2 @ 2.46% ( 5-1 @ 2.07% ( 5-0 @ 1.86% ( 5-2 @ 1.15% ( 4-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.79% Total : 64.81% | 1-1 @ 8.22% ( 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0-0 @ 3.15% ( 3-3 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 0.28% Total : 18.57% | 1-2 @ 4.57% ( 0-1 @ 3.5% ( 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0-2 @ 1.95% ( 1-3 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.91% Total : 16.62% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 | 
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 | 
| 3 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 | 
| 4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 29 | 
| 5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 | 
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 | 
| 7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 | 
| 8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 | 
| 9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 | 
| 10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 | 
| 11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 | 
| 12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 | 
| 13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 | 
| 14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 | 
| 15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 13 | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 | 
| 2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 | 
| 3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 29 | 
| 4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 | 
| 5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 | 
| 6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 | 
| 7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 | 
| 8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 | 
| 9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 21 | 
| 10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 18 | 
| 11 | St Louis City | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 18 | 
| 12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 14 | 
| 13 | Dallas | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 14 | 
| 14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 | 
