Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw has a probability of 24.9% and a win for Fenix has a probability of 16.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 0-1 with a probability of 16.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (12.91%) and 1-2 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Fenix win it is 1-0 (7.02%).