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Europa League

Maribor
Europa League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Ljudski vrt

Maribor
2 - 2
Botev Plovdiv

Repas (13'), Yves Beugre (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nachukwu (47'), Ujah (60')
Popov (32'), Success Ukaki (72'), Minkov (86'), Eto'o (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Maribor and Botev Plovdiv, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maribor

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Botev Plovdiv 2-1 Maribor
Thursday, July 11 at 7pm in Europa League

Botev Plovdiv

All competitions
Last Game: Botev Plovdiv 2-1 Maribor
Thursday, July 11 at 7pm in Europa League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Celje0nan
2Koper0nan
3Maribor0nan
4Bravo0nan
5Domzale0nan
6Ljubljana0nan
7NS Mura0nan
8Nafta0nan
9Primorje0nan
10Radomlje0nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 61.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Botev Plovdiv had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 1-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Botev Plovdiv win it was 1-2 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MariborDrawBotev Plovdiv
61.58% (-0.77699999999999 -0.78)20.28% (0.2 0.2)18.13% (0.576 0.58)
Both teams to score 57.53% (0.464 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.58% (0.061 0.06)38.42% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.29% (0.062999999999995 0.06)60.71% (-0.064 -0.06)
Maribor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.97% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)12.02% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.5% (-0.416 -0.42)37.49% (0.415 0.41)
Botev Plovdiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.39% (0.67 0.67)34.6% (-0.672 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.67% (0.706 0.71)71.32% (-0.706 -0.71)
Score Analysis
    Maribor 61.58%
    Botev Plovdiv 18.13%
    Draw 20.28%
MariborDrawBotev Plovdiv
2-1 @ 9.91%
2-0 @ 9.33% (-0.172 -0.17)
1-0 @ 8.81% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 7% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.59% (-0.173 -0.17)
3-2 @ 3.71% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.7% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.49% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.97% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.57% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.48% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 61.58%
1-1 @ 9.35% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
0-0 @ 4.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.28%
1-2 @ 4.96% (0.128 0.13)
0-1 @ 4.42% (0.067 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.34% (0.078 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.76% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 18.13%

How you voted: Maribor vs Botev Plovdiv

Maribor
57.1%
Draw
22.9%
Botev Plovdiv
20.0%
35
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2024 7pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Botev Plovdiv
2-1
Maribor
Ujah (9'), Iliyanov Iliev (74')
Nachukwu (43'), Balogiannis (55'), Minkov (78')
Sirvys (19')
Karic (30'), Repas (30'), Repas (59')
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