Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (5.84%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.