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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Mar 16, 2025 at 11pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Inter Miami

Atlanta
1 - 2
Inter Miami

Latte Lath (11')
Amador (45'), Rode Gregersen (62'), Mosquera (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Messi (20'), Picault (89')
Allen (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, March 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cavalier 0-2 Inter Miami
Friday, March 14 at 12am in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: Atlanta United 0-3 Inter Miami

Miami will not forget what happened the last time they played Atlanta, and we expect they will use that upset defeat in the 2024 playoffs as motivation to make a statement on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (5.84%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawInter Miami
40.92% (-6.178 -6.18) 23.74% (0.5 0.5) 35.35% (5.681 5.68)
Both teams to score 62.22% (0.62 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.21% (-0.20699999999999 -0.21)39.79% (0.209 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.85% (-0.21400000000001 -0.21)62.15% (0.217 0.22)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.25% (-2.639 -2.64)19.75% (2.641 2.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.21% (-4.467 -4.47)51.79% (4.468 4.47)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (3.217 3.22)22.47% (-3.216 -3.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.98% (4.583 4.58)56.02% (-4.581 -4.58)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 40.92%
    Inter Miami 35.35%
    Draw 23.73%
Atlanta UnitedDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 8.72% (-0.594 -0.59)
1-0 @ 7.2% (-0.561 -0.56)
2-0 @ 5.84% (-1.011 -1.01)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.767 -0.77)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.205 -0.21)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.875 -0.88)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.507 -0.51)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.217 -0.22)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.499 -0.5)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 40.92%
1-1 @ 10.74% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 6.51% (0.179 0.18)
0-0 @ 4.44% (0.043 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.73%
1-2 @ 8.02% (0.855 0.86)
0-1 @ 6.63% (0.652 0.65)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.886 0.89)
1-3 @ 3.99% (0.745 0.75)
2-3 @ 3.24% (0.371 0.37)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.622 0.62)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.386 0.39)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.235 0.24)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.294 0.29)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 35.35%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Inter Miami

Atlanta United
10.8%
Draw
24.3%
Inter Miami
64.9%
37
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2024 1am
MLS Cup Round One
Inter Miami
2-3
Atlanta
Rojas (17'), Messi (65')
Redondo (35'), Busquets (80')
Thiare (19', 21'), Slisz (76')
Amador (88')
Nov 2, 2024 11pm
MLS Cup Round One
Atlanta
2-1
Inter Miami
Williams (58'), Silva (90+4')
Hernandez (45+1'), Williams (63'), Slisz (90+3'), Silva (90+5')
Martinez (40')
Aviles (56')
Oct 26, 2024 1.30am
MLS Cup Round One
Inter Miami
2-1
Atlanta
Suarez (2'), Alba (60')
Lobzhanidze (39')
Williams (90+4')
Sep 19, 2024 12.30am
May 30, 2024 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000


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