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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Mar 16, 2025 at 11pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Inter Miami

Atlanta
1 - 2
Inter Miami

Latte Lath (11')
Amador (45'), Rode Gregersen (62'), Mosquera (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Messi (20'), Picault (89')
Allen (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 0-0 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, March 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cavalier 0-2 Inter Miami
Friday, March 14 at 12am in CONCACAF Champions League

We said: Atlanta United 0-3 Inter Miami

Miami will not forget what happened the last time they played Atlanta, and we expect they will use that upset defeat in the 2024 playoffs as motivation to make a statement on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.2%) and 2-0 (5.84%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawInter Miami
40.92% (-6.178 -6.18) 23.74% (0.5 0.5) 35.35% (5.681 5.68)
Both teams to score 62.22% (0.62 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.21% (-0.20699999999999 -0.21)39.79% (0.209 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.85% (-0.21400000000001 -0.21)62.15% (0.217 0.22)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.25% (-2.639 -2.64)19.75% (2.641 2.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.21% (-4.467 -4.47)51.79% (4.468 4.47)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (3.217 3.22)22.47% (-3.216 -3.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.98% (4.583 4.58)56.02% (-4.581 -4.58)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 40.92%
    Inter Miami 35.35%
    Draw 23.73%
Atlanta UnitedDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 8.72% (-0.594 -0.59)
1-0 @ 7.2% (-0.561 -0.56)
2-0 @ 5.84% (-1.011 -1.01)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.767 -0.77)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.205 -0.21)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.875 -0.88)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.507 -0.51)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.217 -0.22)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.499 -0.5)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 40.92%
1-1 @ 10.74% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 6.51% (0.179 0.18)
0-0 @ 4.44% (0.043 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.73%
1-2 @ 8.02% (0.855 0.86)
0-1 @ 6.63% (0.652 0.65)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.886 0.89)
1-3 @ 3.99% (0.745 0.75)
2-3 @ 3.24% (0.371 0.37)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.622 0.62)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.386 0.39)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.235 0.24)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.294 0.29)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 35.35%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Inter Miami

Atlanta United
10.8%
Draw
24.3%
Inter Miami
64.9%
37
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2024 1am
MLS Cup Round One
Inter Miami
2-3
Atlanta
Rojas (17'), Messi (65')
Redondo (35'), Busquets (80')
Thiare (19', 21'), Slisz (76')
Amador (88')
Nov 2, 2024 11pm
MLS Cup Round One
Atlanta
2-1
Inter Miami
Williams (58'), Silva (90+4')
Hernandez (45+1'), Williams (63'), Slisz (90+3'), Silva (90+5')
Martinez (40')
Aviles (56')
Oct 26, 2024 1.30am
MLS Cup Round One
Inter Miami
2-1
Atlanta
Suarez (2'), Alba (60')
Lobzhanidze (39')
Williams (90+4')
Sep 19, 2024 12.30am
May 30, 2024 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati107121512322
2Columbus Crew10631148621
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia106131991019
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC10613168819
5Inter MiamiInter Miami95311610618
6Nashville SCNashville105141913616
7Orlando City104421812616
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls10433119215
9New York City FCNY City104241213-114
10New England RevolutionNew England941477013
11Chicago Fire103341822-412
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta102351119-89
13DC United102351122-119
14Toronto10145814-67
15CF MontrealMontreal10037414-103

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver107212071323
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd104421210216
3Colorado RapidsColorado104421414016
4Austin FCAustin10514710-316
5Portland TimbersPortland94321613315
6Dallas104331414015
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104241314-114
8Seattle SoundersSeattle103431312113
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake104061115-412
10San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes103162019110
11St Louis City1024456-110
12Houston DynamoHouston102441014-410
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy9036616-103
15San Diego FC00000000


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