Coverage of the National League South clash between Chesham United and Farnborough Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-2 Chesham
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
57
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-4 Farnborough
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
58
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Farnborough Town win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesham United | Draw | Farnborough Town |
44.77% ( 0.03) | 25.1% ( -0) | 30.13% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.4% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
