Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
Portsmouth2 - 2Derby
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Coventry 1-0 Portsmouth
Wednesday, April 9 at 8pm in Championship
Wednesday, April 9 at 8pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
48
Last Game: Derby 0-0 Burnley
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Championship
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
42
We said: Portsmouth 1-1 Derby County
Portsmouth and Derby will both be desperate to avoid defeat against their relegation rivals, and with that in mind, we think that Saturday's contest will be a cagey affair and could ultimately result in the spoils being shared between the two sides. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 47.12%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Derby County |
47.12% ( 0.1) | 26.41% ( -0.03) | 26.47% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 48.92% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
