Championship

Championship | Gameweek 39

Apr 2, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
2 - 0
Preston

Forsyth (48'), Yates (52')
Thompson (15')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Brady (72'), Frokjaer-Jensen (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Plymouth 2-3 Derby
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Preston North End

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Preston 0-3 Aston Villa
Sunday, March 30 at 1.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 44.2%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 26.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Preston North End
44.2% ( 1.59)	28.93% ( -0.62)	26.87% ( -0.97)

Both teams to score 42.45% (

0.97)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.47% (

1.48)

63.53% (

-1.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.15% (

1.05)

82.85% (

-1.05)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.29% (

1.61)

28.7% (

-1.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.47% (

1.97)

64.53% (

-1.97)

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.54% (

0.01)

40.46% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.93% (

0.01)

77.07% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Derby County 44.2%

Preston North End 26.86%

Draw 28.92%

Derby County	Draw	Preston North End
1-0 @ 14.49% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.28) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.53% Total : 44.2%	1-1 @ 13.11% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 11.61% ( -0.65) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.92%	0-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.59) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.33% Total : 26.86%

How you voted: Derby vs Preston

Derby County

75.6%

Draw

12.8%

Preston North End

11.6%

Head to Head

Nov 23, 2024 3pm

Gameweek 16

Preston

1-1

Derby

Greenwood (23')
Greenwood (62'), McCann (87')

Yates (29')
Thompson (58'), Harness (90')

> Preview

Apr 2, 2022 3pm

Gameweek 40

Derby

1-0

Preston

Morrison (80')
Davies (66'), Knight (84')
Bird (55')

Whiteman (61'), Johnson (87')
Lindsay (32')

> Preview

Oct 16, 2021 3pm

Gameweek 12

Preston

0-0

Derby

Johnson (5'), Storey (62')

> Preview

Apr 20, 2021 7pm

Gameweek 43

Preston

3-0

Derby

Whiteman (18'), Evans (73'), Ledson (87')

Byrne (86')

> Match Report

Dec 26, 2020 3pm

Gameweek 21

Derby

0-1

Preston

Waghorn (20')

Browne (90+5')
Fisher (43')

Form Guide

Middlesbrough 1-0 Derby

Derby 0-1 Millwall

QPR 4-0 Derby

Preston 0-3 Aston Villa

Preston 2-1 Portsmouth

Sunderland 1-1 Preston

Sheff Utd 1-0 Preston

Nations League

Spain

International Friendlies

Algeria

International Friendlies

Georgia

Belarus

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

Congo DR

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Australia

Saudi Arabia

Indonesia

South Korea

Palestine

Jordan

Qatar

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Leeds United Leeds	46	29	13	4	95	30	65	100
P	Burnley	46	28	16	2	69	16	53	100
3	Sheffield United Sheff Utd	46	28	8	10	63	36	27	90
P	Sunderland	46	21	13	12	58	44	14	76
5	Coventry City Coventry	46	20	9	17	64	58	6	69
6	Bristol City	46	17	17	12	59	55	4	68
7	Blackburn Rovers Blackburn	46	19	9	18	53	48	5	66
8	Millwall	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2	66
9	West Bromwich Albion West Brom	46	15	19	12	57	47	10	64
10	Middlesbrough	46	18	10	18	64	56	8	64
11	Swansea City Swansea	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5	61
12	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9	58
13	Norwich City Norwich	46	14	15	17	71	68	3	57
14	Watford	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8	57
15	Queens Park Rangers QPR	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10	56
16	Portsmouth	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13	54
17	Oxford United Oxford Utd	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16	53
18	Stoke City Stoke	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17	51
19	Derby County Derby	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8	50
20	Preston North End Preston	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11	50
21	Hull City	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10	49
R	Luton Town Luton	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24	49
R	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37	46
R	Cardiff City Cardiff	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25	44
					> Championship Full Table