Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Plymouth 2-3 Derby
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
40
Last Game: Preston 0-3 Aston Villa
Sunday, March 30 at 1.30pm in FA Cup
Sunday, March 30 at 1.30pm in FA Cup
Goals
for
for
39
We said: Derby County 2-1 Preston North End
After a well-earned break during the international pause, Derby should be ready and raring to record another second-tier maximum on Wednesday night. Preston's season is effectively over after their defeat to Villa in the FA Cup, and the Lilywhites could be slightly off the boil at Pride Park. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 44.2%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 26.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Preston North End |
44.2% ( 1.59) | 28.93% ( -0.62) | 26.87% ( -0.97) |
| Both teams to score 42.45% ( 0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
