Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.