Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 60.47%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 18.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a CD Guadalajara win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.