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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Exeter City

Bristol Rovers
1 - 2
Exeter

Sotiriou (70')
Sawyers (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Watts (11'), Cole (42')
McDonald (32'), Watts (56'), Whitworth (79'), McMillan (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Wigan
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Exeter City

Rovers have scored in each of their last 11 home games, and with the pressure of demotion on their minds, they will be motivated to put in a strong performance this weekend. That being said, Exeter have proven tough to beat both at home and away in recent weeks, so expect them to take a point at the very least on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawExeter City
35.19% (0.284 0.28) 26.27% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 38.54% (-0.295 -0.3)
Both teams to score 53.21% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)51.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)73.24% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.98% (0.16799999999999 0.17)28.01% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.34% (0.214 0.21)63.66% (-0.215 -0.22)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.92% (-0.166 -0.17)26.07% (0.165 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.87% (-0.224 -0.22)61.13% (0.223 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 35.19%
    Exeter City 38.54%
    Draw 26.27%
Bristol RoversDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.3% (0.048 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.95% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.91% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.37% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.51% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 35.19%
1-1 @ 12.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.3% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 9.82% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.4% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.6% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.96% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 38.54%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Exeter

Bristol Rovers
73.3%
Draw
13.3%
Exeter City
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Exeter
3-1
Bristol Rovers
Fitzwater (72'), Alli (78'), Richards (90+6')
Niskanen (13'), McDonald (44')
Omochere (61')
Conteh (30'), Lindsay (68')
Oct 29, 2024 7pm
Group Stage
Bristol Rovers
2-3
Exeter
Taylor (31'), Hutchinson (67')
Bilongo (33'), Forde (90')
Bird (19'), Alli (49'), Mitchell (88')
Watts (35'), Francis (42')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Exeter
0-1
Bristol Rovers

Diabate (45')
Aguilera (15')
Wilson (17'), Hunt (64'), Crama (80')
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Exeter

Evans (90+3')
Cox (12')
Cole (77'), Wildschut (90+7')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Bristol Rovers
3-4
Exeter
Collins (57'), Coburn (64'), Sinclair (74' pen.)
Nombe (13', 90+2'), Collins (45+2'), Dieng (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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