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Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Exeter City

Bristol Rovers
1 - 2
Exeter

Sotiriou (70')
Sawyers (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Watts (11'), Cole (42')
McDonald (32'), Watts (56'), Whitworth (79'), McMillan (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Wigan
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Exeter City

Rovers have scored in each of their last 11 home games, and with the pressure of demotion on their minds, they will be motivated to put in a strong performance this weekend. That being said, Exeter have proven tough to beat both at home and away in recent weeks, so expect them to take a point at the very least on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawExeter City
35.19% (0.284 0.28) 26.27% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 38.54% (-0.295 -0.3)
Both teams to score 53.21% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)51.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)73.24% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.98% (0.16799999999999 0.17)28.01% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.34% (0.214 0.21)63.66% (-0.215 -0.22)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.92% (-0.166 -0.17)26.07% (0.165 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.87% (-0.224 -0.22)61.13% (0.223 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 35.19%
    Exeter City 38.54%
    Draw 26.27%
Bristol RoversDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.3% (0.048 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.95% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.91% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.37% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.51% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 35.19%
1-1 @ 12.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.3% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 9.82% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.4% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.6% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.96% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 38.54%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Exeter

Bristol Rovers
73.3%
Draw
13.3%
Exeter City
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 22
Exeter
3-1
Bristol Rovers
Fitzwater (72'), Alli (78'), Richards (90+6')
Niskanen (13'), McDonald (44')
Omochere (61')
Conteh (30'), Lindsay (68')
Oct 29, 2024 7pm
Group Stage
Bristol Rovers
2-3
Exeter
Taylor (31'), Hutchinson (67')
Bilongo (33'), Forde (90')
Bird (19'), Alli (49'), Mitchell (88')
Watts (35'), Francis (42')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Exeter
0-1
Bristol Rovers

Diabate (45')
Aguilera (15')
Wilson (17'), Hunt (64'), Crama (80')
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Exeter

Evans (90+3')
Cox (12')
Cole (77'), Wildschut (90+7')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Bristol Rovers
3-4
Exeter
Collins (57'), Coburn (64'), Sinclair (74' pen.)
Nombe (13', 90+2'), Collins (45+2'), Dieng (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham42309375304599
2Wrexham442511862342886
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe442412869412884
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4424101064392582
5Stockport CountyStockport442312966392781
6Leyton Orient442261667472072
7Reading4420121264531172
8Bolton WanderersBolton44206186568-366
9Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44197185648864
10Blackpool4316151267561163
11Lincoln CityLincoln4416131562511161
12Barnsley441610186469-558
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham441510195157-655
14Stevenage431510184047-755
15Wigan AthleticWigan431314163739-253
16Exeter CityExeter441411194661-1553
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough431311196474-1050
18Northampton TownNorthampton441214184762-1550
19Mansfield TownMansfield43139215367-1448
20Burton Albion431013204561-1643
21Bristol Rovers44127254370-2743
22Crawley TownCrawley441010245282-3040
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge44911244369-2638
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4479283876-3830


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