We said: Exeter City 1-1 Wigan Athletic
Exeter hit a decent run of form last month that has really helped their survival hopes in League One, while the visitors are still getting used to life under their new boss.
We do not see a winner in this game, as they are both fairly evenly matched, and with little to separate the two teams in the standings, we are going with a 1-1 draw here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.75%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (11.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.