Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.