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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 41
Apr 5, 2025 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Newport County

Carlisle
3 - 2
Newport

Kelly (33', 59'), Hayden (84')
Hayden (75'), Bevan (90+4'), Dennis (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Evans (26'), Kamwa (28')
Martin (75')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Chesterfield 2-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, April 1 at 7.45pm in League Two

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Newport 1-1 Bromley
Tuesday, April 1 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 61.21%. A draw has a probability of 22.6% and a win for Newport County has a probability of 16.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.07%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Newport County win it is 0-1 (5.94%).

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawNewport County
61.21% (2.747 2.75) 22.65% (-0.84 -0.84) 16.14% (-1.903 -1.9)
Both teams to score 45.81% (-1.197 -1.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.04% (0.366 0.37)51.96% (-0.363 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.3% (0.316 0.32)73.7% (-0.31100000000001 -0.31)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.46% (1.095 1.1)16.54% (-1.092 -1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.69% (1.932 1.93)46.31% (-1.93 -1.93)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.9% (-2.181 -2.18)45.1% (2.185 2.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.98% (-1.79 -1.79)81.02% (1.792 1.79)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 61.2%
    Newport County 16.14%
    Draw 22.64%
Carlisle UnitedDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 13.42% (0.29 0.29)
2-0 @ 12.07% (0.68 0.68)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.24% (0.652 0.65)
3-1 @ 5.77% (0.192 0.19)
4-0 @ 3.26% (0.399 0.4)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.176 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.17% (0.18 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 61.2%
1-1 @ 10.68% (-0.43 -0.43)
0-0 @ 7.46% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-2 @ 3.83% (-0.248 -0.25)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 22.64%
0-1 @ 5.94% (-0.462 -0.46)
1-2 @ 4.26% (-0.443 -0.44)
0-2 @ 2.37% (-0.343 -0.34)
1-3 @ 1.13% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.133 -0.13)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 16.14%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Newport
1-0
Carlisle
Hudlin (76')
Evans (33')

McArthur (36'), Whelan (47'), Williams (63'), Lavelle (90+1')
> Preview
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Carlisle
2-0
Newport
Dennis (45+2'), Gordon (57')
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Newport
1-1
Carlisle
Moriah-Welsh (30')
Whelan (76')
> Preview
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Carlisle
1-2
Newport
Patrick (80')
Demetriou (15'), Azaz (65')
> Preview
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Newport
2-2
Carlisle
Telford (27', 30')
Haynes (48')
Upson (66'), Haynes (85')
Riley (1'), Clough (67' pen.)
McDonald (14'), Mellish (22')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236
> League Two Full Table


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