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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 41
Apr 5, 2025 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Newport County

Carlisle
3 - 2
Newport

Kelly (33', 59'), Hayden (84')
Hayden (75'), Bevan (90+4'), Dennis (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Evans (26'), Kamwa (28')
Martin (75')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Chesterfield 2-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, April 1 at 7.45pm in League Two

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Newport 1-1 Bromley
Tuesday, April 1 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 61.21%. A draw has a probability of 22.6% and a win for Newport County has a probability of 16.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.07%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Newport County win it is 0-1 (5.94%).

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawNewport County
61.21% (2.747 2.75) 22.65% (-0.84 -0.84) 16.14% (-1.903 -1.9)
Both teams to score 45.81% (-1.197 -1.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.04% (0.366 0.37)51.96% (-0.363 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.3% (0.316 0.32)73.7% (-0.31100000000001 -0.31)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.46% (1.095 1.1)16.54% (-1.092 -1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.69% (1.932 1.93)46.31% (-1.93 -1.93)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.9% (-2.181 -2.18)45.1% (2.185 2.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.98% (-1.79 -1.79)81.02% (1.792 1.79)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 61.2%
    Newport County 16.14%
    Draw 22.64%
Carlisle UnitedDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 13.42% (0.29 0.29)
2-0 @ 12.07% (0.68 0.68)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.24% (0.652 0.65)
3-1 @ 5.77% (0.192 0.19)
4-0 @ 3.26% (0.399 0.4)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.176 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.17% (0.18 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 61.2%
1-1 @ 10.68% (-0.43 -0.43)
0-0 @ 7.46% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-2 @ 3.83% (-0.248 -0.25)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 22.64%
0-1 @ 5.94% (-0.462 -0.46)
1-2 @ 4.26% (-0.443 -0.44)
0-2 @ 2.37% (-0.343 -0.34)
1-3 @ 1.13% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.133 -0.13)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 16.14%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Newport
1-0
Carlisle
Hudlin (76')
Evans (33')

McArthur (36'), Whelan (47'), Williams (63'), Lavelle (90+1')
> Preview
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Carlisle
2-0
Newport
Dennis (45+2'), Gordon (57')
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Newport
1-1
Carlisle
Moriah-Welsh (30')
Whelan (76')
> Preview
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Carlisle
1-2
Newport
Patrick (80')
Demetriou (15'), Azaz (65')
> Preview
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Newport
2-2
Carlisle
Telford (27', 30')
Haynes (48')
Upson (66'), Haynes (85')
Riley (1'), Clough (67' pen.)
McDonald (14'), Mellish (22')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Doncaster RoversDoncaster4422121069482178
2Port Vale442114963451877
3Bradford CityBradford4421121162431975
4Walsall4420141074532174
5AFC Wimbledon4419131255332270
6Notts County4419121364461869
7Grimsby Town44207176166-567
8Colchester UnitedColchester441618105143866
9Salford City441714135851765
10Chesterfield4417131468531564
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe441517124945462
12Bromley441614145856262
13Swindon TownSwindon441515147062860
14BarrowBarrow441512174947257
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood441415155859-157
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham441512175765-857
17Gillingham441315163945-654
18MK Dons44148225266-1450
19Harrogate TownHarrogate441311204057-1750
20Newport CountyNewport441310215170-1949
21Accrington StanleyAccrington441114195268-1647
22Tranmere RoversTranmere441015193964-2545
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle441011234066-2641
24Morecambe44106283866-2836
> League Two Full Table


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