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Championship header 2

League Two
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Newport County

Colchester
2 - 1
Newport

Iandolo (75'), Mingi (90+2')
McGeehan (67'), Tovide (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zanzala (42')
Payne (67'), Waite (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Colchester
Saturday, March 23 at 12.30pm in League Two

Newport County

All competitions
Last Game: Barrow 1-0 Newport
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 2-1 Newport County

 With two porous defences going head-to-head, we expect neither of the teams to come away with a clean sheet here. That said, we also fancy the home side to get the job done at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Colchester United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Colchester United.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawNewport County
41.17% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 25.32% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 33.51% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 56.1% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.43% (0.0039999999999978 0)47.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)69.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.03% (0.042000000000002 0.04)22.96% (-0.043000000000003 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.25% (0.061999999999998 0.06)56.75% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)27.18% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.41% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)62.59% (0.055 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 41.17%
    Newport County 33.51%
    Draw 25.31%
Colchester UnitedDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.76% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.32% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.31% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 41.17%
1-1 @ 11.96%
0-0 @ 6.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 8.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.3% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 33.51%

How you voted: Colchester vs Newport

Colchester United
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Newport County
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Newport
2-1
Colchester
Evans (43'), Bogle (63')
Wildig (36'), McLoughlin (41')
Tovide (34')
Mingi (18'), Garner (19'), Chilvers (90+2')
Read (89')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Colchester
0-0
Newport
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Newport
2-0
Colchester
O'Hara (28' og.), Lewis (76')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Newport
1-0
Colchester
Evans (7')
Apr 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 44
Newport
1-2
Colchester
Telford (40')
Dolan (38'), Lewis (45+2'), Bennett (72')
Akinde (68'), Chilvers (77')
Wiredu (45+2'), Huws (66'), Skuse (89'), George (90')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale422113859401976
2Bradford CityBradford4221101158391973
3Walsall4220121072512172
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster4120111062471571
5AFC Wimbledon4219121155322369
6Notts County4219111262431968
7Grimsby Town42206165960-166
8Colchester UnitedColchester421617951401165
9Chesterfield4217111465501562
10Salford City411613125347661
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe421516114944561
12Swindon TownSwindon421415136661557
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood421414145756156
14Bromley421414145656056
15BarrowBarrow421510174947255
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham421411175463-953
17Gillingham421214163744-750
18Newport CountyNewport42138215170-1947
19MK Dons42137225166-1546
20Harrogate TownHarrogate421210203554-1946
21Tranmere RoversTranmere421014183961-2244
22Accrington StanleyAccrington421013194966-1743
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle42910233663-2737
24Morecambe42106263762-2536
> League Two Full Table


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