

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 50.22%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 25.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Mansfield Town | 
| 25.94% (  0.04) | 23.83% (  0.02) | 50.22% (  -0.06) | 
| Both teams to score 56.51% (  -0.02) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 55.03% (  -0.04) | 44.96% (  0.04) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.68% (  -0.04) | 67.32% (  0.04) | 
| Newport County Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.88% (  0.02) | 31.11% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.56% (  0.02) | 67.44% (  -0.02) | 
| Mansfield Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82.03% (  -0.04) | 17.97% (  0.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.19% (  -0.07) | 48.81% (  0.07) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Newport County | Draw | Mansfield Town | 
| 2-1 @ 6.54% (  0.01) 1-0 @ 6.53% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 3.81% (  0.01) 3-1 @ 2.55% (  0) 3-2 @ 2.19% (  0) 3-0 @ 1.48% (  0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 25.94% | 1-1 @ 11.2% (  0.01) 2-2 @ 5.61% 0-0 @ 5.59% (  0.01) 3-3 @ 1.25% (  -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.83% | 1-2 @ 9.62% (  -0) 0-1 @ 9.6% (  0) 0-2 @ 8.24% (  -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.5% (  -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.71% (  -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.21% (  -0) 1-4 @ 2.36% (  -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.02% (  -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.38% (  -0) Other @ 3.59% Total : 50.22% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 92 | 
| P | Wrexham | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 89 | 52 | 37 | 88 | 
| P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 47 | 43 | 86 | 
| 4 | MK Dons | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 83 | 68 | 15 | 78 | 
| 5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 73 | 68 | 5 | 71 | 
| 6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 | 
| 7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 73 | 67 | 6 | 70 | 
| 8 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 69 | 
| 9 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 69 | 
| 10 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 65 | 
| 11 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 65 | 
| 12 | Gillingham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 64 | 
| 13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 63 | 
| 14 | Notts County | 46 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 89 | 86 | 3 | 61 | 
| 15 | Morecambe | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 58 | 
| 16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 57 | 
| 17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 57 | 
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 55 | 
| 19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 54 | 
| 20 | Salford City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 51 | 
| 21 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 49 | 
| 22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 45 | 
| R | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 42 | 
| R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 42 | 
| > League Two Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
