

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 35.24% ( | 23.62% ( | 41.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.74% ( | 39.26% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.4% ( | 61.6% ( |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.72% ( | 22.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.26% ( | 55.74% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.57% ( | 19.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.73% ( | 51.27% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| NAC Breda | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 2-1 @ 8% ( 1-0 @ 6.5% ( 2-0 @ 4.88% ( 3-1 @ 4% ( 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 3-0 @ 2.44% ( 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 4-0 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 35.24% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( 2-2 @ 6.55% ( 0-0 @ 4.33% ( 3-3 @ 1.79% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.62% | 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0-2 @ 5.81% ( 1-3 @ 4.76% ( 2-3 @ 3.58% ( 0-3 @ 3.17% ( 1-4 @ 1.95% ( 2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0-4 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 3.28% Total : 41.14% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 103 | 39 | 64 | 79 |
| 2 | Ajax | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 78 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 68 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 45 | 17 | 64 |
| 5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 57 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 54 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 55 | 2 | 51 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 57 | -15 | 43 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 41 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 41 |
| 12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | Groningen | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 39 |
| 14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 33 |
| 16 | Willem II | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 26 |
| R | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 44 | 74 | -30 | 25 |
| R | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 23 | 64 | -41 | 22 |
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