Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 33.08% ( | 26.29% ( | 40.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.73% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.14% ( | 51.86% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.38% ( | 73.62% ( |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.45% ( | 29.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.42% ( | 65.57% ( |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.85% ( | 25.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.13% ( | 59.86% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 1-0 @ 9.06% ( 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 2-0 @ 5.52% ( 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 3-0 @ 2.24% ( 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 4-1 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.08% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 3-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 10.25% ( 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0-2 @ 7.08% ( 1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0-3 @ 3.26% ( 2-3 @ 2.42% ( 1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0-4 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 40.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 74 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 93 | 35 | 58 | 70 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 72 | 33 | 39 | 65 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 50 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
| 9 | Groningen | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 38 |
| 10 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 38 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 36 |
| 12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 34 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 34 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 32 |
| 16 | Willem II | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 25 |
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 20 |
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 19 |
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