

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 52.73%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 52.73% ( | 22.93% ( | 24.34% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.88% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.62% ( | 42.38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.21% ( | 64.79% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.9% ( | 16.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.5% ( | 45.5% ( |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.98% ( | 31.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.67% ( | 67.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 1-0 @ 9.12% ( 2-0 @ 8.33% ( 3-1 @ 5.94% ( 3-0 @ 5.07% ( 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 4-1 @ 2.71% ( 4-0 @ 2.32% ( 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 5-1 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 3.44% Total : 52.73% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 3-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0-1 @ 5.84% ( 0-2 @ 3.42% ( 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0-3 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 2.83% Total : 24.34% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 57 | 20 | 37 | 67 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 61 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 62 | 32 | 30 | 56 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 52 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 47 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 46 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 34 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 |
| 10 | Groningen | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 |
| 11 | Heracles | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 30 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 30 |
| 14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 30 |
| 15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 28 |
| 16 | Willem II | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 24 |
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 19 |
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 18 |
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