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La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 6, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Athletic Bilbao logo

Villarreal
0 - 0
Athletic Bilbao


Gueye (83')
FT

Gorosabel (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Getafe 1-2 Villarreal
Sunday, March 30 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-2 Athletic Bilbao

Villarreal are good value in terms of entertainment, and we are finding it difficult to back them to keep out a talented Athletic attack on Sunday, but they have some serious firepower themselves. We are expecting an open and free-flowing match here, and the points could ultimately be shared in a 2-2 draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawAthletic Bilbao
40.57% (-0.07 -0.07) 24.84% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07) 34.58% (0.142 0.14)
Both teams to score 58.01% (0.286 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.79% (0.358 0.36)45.21% (-0.356 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.45% (0.342 0.34)67.55% (-0.34 -0.34)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (0.123 0.12)22.23% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.34% (0.18000000000001 0.18)55.66% (-0.178 -0.18)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.59% (0.253 0.25)25.41% (-0.251 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.77% (0.344 0.34)60.23% (-0.341 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 40.58%
    Athletic Bilbao 34.58%
    Draw 24.84%
VillarrealDrawAthletic Bilbao
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.5% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-0 @ 6.39% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.39% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 40.58%
1-1 @ 11.63% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.038 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.84%
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.022 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.74% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.64% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.42% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.022 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 34.58%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao

Villarreal
35.3%
Draw
22.1%
Athletic Bilbao
42.6%
68
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 16
Athletic Bilbao
2-0
Villarreal
Paredes (15'), Williams (69')
Sancet (55'), Prados (68')

Comesana (35')
Apr 14, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Athletic Bilbao
1-1
Villarreal
Sancet (66')
Prados (10'), Williams (31'), Berchiche (90+4')
Parejo (90+5' pen.)
Albiol (34'), Comesana (35')
Comesana (46')
Nov 5, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Villarreal
2-3
Athletic Bilbao
Moreno (86'), Sorloth (87')
Gabbia (19'), Albiol (72'), Mandi (74'), Femenia (76')
Ruiz de Galarreta (2'), Williams (22'), Williams (30')
Williams (41'), de Marcos (44'), Garcia (89'), Ruiz de Galarreta (90+2')
May 13, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 34
Villarreal
5-1
Athletic Bilbao
Baena (24', 90'), Jackson (37', 50'), Paredes (61' og.)
Capoue (1'), Parejo (45'), Torres (45+3'), Pedraza (58')
Sancet (45+3' pen.)
Paredes (54'), Herrera (54'), Williams (68')
Oct 30, 2022 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona33244589325776
2Real Madrid33226566313572
3Atletico MadridAtletico33199556272966
4Athletic Bilbao331612550262460
5Villarreal331510856451155
6Real BetisBetis3315995041954
7Celta Vigo33137135049146
8Osasuna33101494046-644
9Mallorca33128133138-744
10Real Sociedad33126153237-542
11Rayo Vallecano331011123542-741
12Getafe33109143130139
13Espanyol33109143542-739
14Valencia33912123749-1239
15Sevilla33910143544-937
16GironaGirona3398164052-1235
17AlavesAlaves33810153546-1134
18Las PalmasLas Palmas3388173853-1532
19Leganes33612153049-1930
20Real ValladolidValladolid3344252481-5716


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