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La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 6, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Athletic Bilbao logo

Villarreal
0 - 0
Athletic Bilbao


Gueye (83')
FT

Gorosabel (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Getafe 1-2 Villarreal
Sunday, March 30 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-2 Athletic Bilbao

Villarreal are good value in terms of entertainment, and we are finding it difficult to back them to keep out a talented Athletic attack on Sunday, but they have some serious firepower themselves. We are expecting an open and free-flowing match here, and the points could ultimately be shared in a 2-2 draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawAthletic Bilbao
40.57% (-0.07 -0.07) 24.84% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07) 34.58% (0.142 0.14)
Both teams to score 58.01% (0.286 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.79% (0.358 0.36)45.21% (-0.356 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.45% (0.342 0.34)67.55% (-0.34 -0.34)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (0.123 0.12)22.23% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.34% (0.18000000000001 0.18)55.66% (-0.178 -0.18)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.59% (0.253 0.25)25.41% (-0.251 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.77% (0.344 0.34)60.23% (-0.341 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 40.58%
    Athletic Bilbao 34.58%
    Draw 24.84%
VillarrealDrawAthletic Bilbao
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.5% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-0 @ 6.39% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.39% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 40.58%
1-1 @ 11.63% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.038 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.84%
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.022 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.74% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.64% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.42% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.022 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 34.58%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao

Villarreal
35.3%
Draw
22.1%
Athletic Bilbao
42.6%
68
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 16
Athletic Bilbao
2-0
Villarreal
Paredes (15'), Williams (69')
Sancet (55'), Prados (68')

Comesana (35')
Apr 14, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Athletic Bilbao
1-1
Villarreal
Sancet (66')
Prados (10'), Williams (31'), Berchiche (90+4')
Parejo (90+5' pen.)
Albiol (34'), Comesana (35')
Comesana (46')
Nov 5, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Villarreal
2-3
Athletic Bilbao
Moreno (86'), Sorloth (87')
Gabbia (19'), Albiol (72'), Mandi (74'), Femenia (76')
Ruiz de Galarreta (2'), Williams (22'), Williams (30')
Williams (41'), de Marcos (44'), Garcia (89'), Ruiz de Galarreta (90+2')
May 13, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 34
Villarreal
5-1
Athletic Bilbao
Baena (24', 90'), Jackson (37', 50'), Paredes (61' og.)
Capoue (1'), Parejo (45'), Torres (45+3'), Pedraza (58')
Sancet (45+3' pen.)
Paredes (54'), Herrera (54'), Williams (68')
Oct 30, 2022 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBarcelona382846102396388
2Real Madrid38266678384084
3Atletico MadridAtletico382210668303876
4Athletic Bilbao381913654292570
5Villarreal382010871512070
6Real BetisBetis381612105750760
7Celta Vigo38167155957255
8Osasuna381216104852-452
9Rayo Vallecano381313124145-452
10Mallorca38139163544-948
11Valencia381113144454-1046
12Real Sociedad38137183546-1146
13Getafe38119183439-542
14AlavesAlaves381012163848-1042
15Espanyol38119184051-1142
16Sevilla381011174255-1341
17GironaGirona38118194460-1641
18Leganes38913163956-1740
RLas PalmasLas Palmas3888224061-2132
RReal ValladolidValladolid3844302690-6416


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