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La Liga

Sevilla logo
La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 6, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Atletico Madrid logo

Sevilla
1 - 2
Atletico

Agoume (7')
Salas (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Alvarez (25' pen.), Barrios (90+3')
Simeone (51'), Lenglet (57'), Le Normand (85'), Sorloth (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions
Last Game: Betis 2-1 Sevilla
Sunday, March 30 at 8pm in La Liga

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 0-1 Barcelona
Wednesday, April 2 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 52.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 23.32%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-0 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
SevillaDrawAtletico Madrid
23.32% (0.088000000000001 0.09)24.38% (-0.16 -0.16)52.3% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 51.95% (0.604 0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.33% (0.748 0.75)49.67% (-0.746 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.31% (0.667 0.67)71.68% (-0.664 -0.66)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.11% (0.49699999999999 0.5)35.89% (-0.495 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.33% (0.505 0.5)72.67% (-0.503 -0.5)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.04% (0.318 0.32)18.96% (-0.316 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.51% (0.525 0.52)50.49% (-0.523 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 23.32%
    Atletico Madrid 52.29%
    Draw 24.38%
SevillaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 6.97% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-1 @ 5.94% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 3.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.03% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.05 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.22% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 23.32%
1-1 @ 11.59% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.81% (-0.209 -0.21)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.082 0.08)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.38%
0-1 @ 11.31% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-2 @ 9.64% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 9.41% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
1-3 @ 5.34% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 5.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.073 0.07)
1-4 @ 2.22% (0.051 0.05)
0-4 @ 2.17% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.14% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 52.29%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Atletico

Sevilla
9.6%
Draw
16.0%
Atletico Madrid
74.5%
94
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 16
Atletico
4-3
Sevilla
De Paul (10'), Griezmann (62', 90+4'), Lino (79')
Barrios (48'), Alvarez (72'), Galan (87'), Griezmann (90+4')
Lukebakio (12'), Romero (32'), Sanchez (57')
Agoume (49'), Fernandez (67'), Niguez (76')
> Preview
Feb 11, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 24
Sevilla
1-0
Atletico
Romero (15')
Suso (70'), En-Nesyri (77')

Witsel (26')
> Preview
Jan 25, 2024 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Atletico
1-0
Sevilla
Depay (79')
Gimenez (63'), Hermoso (71'), Koke (75'), Simeone (90+5')

Torres (33'), Ramos (39'), Pedrosa (62'), Lamela (73'), Rakitic (82'), Mir (90+8')
> Preview
Dec 23, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 4
Atletico
1-0
Sevilla
Llorente (46')
Molina (27'), Gimenez (38'), Witsel (77'), Correa (77'), De Paul (85'), Llorente (90+4'), Azpilicueta (90')
Soyuncu (70')

Suso (43'), Salas (68'), Ramos (83')
> Preview
Aug 6, 2023 3am
Club Friendlies
Sevilla
1-1
Atletico
Mir (66')
Jordan (57')
Correa (84')
Soyuncu (33')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBarcelona382846102396388
2Real Madrid38266678384084
3Atletico MadridAtletico382210668303876
4Athletic Bilbao381913654292570
5Villarreal382010871512070
6Real BetisBetis381612105750760
7Celta Vigo38167155957255
8Osasuna381216104852-452
9Rayo Vallecano381313124145-452
10Mallorca38139163544-948
11Valencia381113144454-1046
12Real Sociedad38137183546-1146
13Getafe38119183439-542
14AlavesAlaves381012163848-1042
15Espanyol38119184051-1142
16Sevilla381011174255-1341
17GironaGirona38118194460-1641
18Leganes38913163956-1740
RLas PalmasLas Palmas3888224061-2132
RReal ValladolidValladolid3844302690-6416
> La Liga Full Table


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