La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 16

Dec 8, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Atletico
4 - 3
Sevilla

De Paul (10'), Griezmann (62', 90+4'), Lino (79')
Barrios (48'), Alvarez (72'), Galan (87'), Griezmann (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Lukebakio (12'), Romero (32'), Sanchez (57')
Agoume (49'), Fernandez (67'), Niguez (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Cacereno 1-3 Atletico
Thursday, December 5 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Olot 1-3 Sevilla
Thursday, December 5 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 55.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 21.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Sevilla
55.73% ( 0.01)	23.09% ( -0.01)	21.18% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.22% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.38% (

0.01)

46.61% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.11% (

0.01)

68.88% (

-0.02)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.44% (

16.56% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.66% (

0.01)

46.33% (

-0.02)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.78% (

-0)

36.21% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27% (

-0)

73% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 55.72%

Sevilla 21.18%

Draw 23.09%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 10.78% 2-1 @ 9.85% 2-0 @ 9.7% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.81% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.95% 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 55.72%	1-1 @ 10.95% 0-0 @ 6% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.09%	0-1 @ 6.09% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.09% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.69% 0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 21.18%

How you voted: Atletico vs Sevilla

Atletico Madrid

88.9%

Draw

9.1%

Sevilla

2.0%

Head to Head

Feb 11, 2024 5.30pm

Gameweek 24

Sevilla

1-0

Atletico

Romero (15')
Suso (70'), En-Nesyri (77')

Witsel (26')

> Preview

Jan 25, 2024 8pm

Quarter-Finals

Atletico

1-0

Sevilla

Depay (79')
Gimenez (63'), Hermoso (71'), Koke (75'), Simeone (90+5')

Torres (33'), Ramos (39'), Pedrosa (62'), Lamela (73'), Rakitic (82'), Mir (90+8')

> Preview

Dec 23, 2023 3.15pm

Gameweek 4

Atletico

1-0

Sevilla

Llorente (46')
Molina (27'), Gimenez (38'), Witsel (77'), Correa (77'), De Paul (85'), Llorente (90+4'), Azpilicueta (90')
Soyuncu (70')

Suso (43'), Salas (68'), Ramos (83')

> Preview

Aug 6, 2023 3am

Club Friendlies

Sevilla

1-1

Atletico

Mir (66')
Jordan (57')

Correa (84')
Soyuncu (33')

Mar 4, 2023 8pm

Gameweek 24

Atletico

6-1

Sevilla

Depay (23', 26'), Griezmann (53'), Carrasco (69'), Morata (76', 90+2')

En-Nesyri (39')

> Preview

Form Guide

Cacereno 1-3 Atletico

Valladolid 0-5 Atletico

Sparta Prague 0-6 Atletico

Atletico 2-1 Alaves

Mallorca 0-1 Atletico

PSG 1-2 Atletico

Olot 1-3 Sevilla

Sevilla 1-1 Osasuna

Sevilla 1-0 Rayo Vallecano

Leganes 1-0 Sevilla

Sevilla 0-2 Real Sociedad

Las Rozas 0-3 Sevilla

Nations League

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

International Friendlies

Singapore

Tajikistan

World Cup Qualifying - Asia

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

COSAFA Cup

Lesotho

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Barcelona	38	28	4	6	102	39	63	88
2	Real Madrid	38	26	6	6	78	38	40	84
3	Atletico Madrid Atletico	38	22	10	6	68	30	38	76
4	Athletic Bilbao	38	19	13	6	54	29	25	70
5	Villarreal	38	20	10	8	71	51	20	70
6	Real Betis Betis	38	16	12	10	57	50	7	60
7	Celta Vigo	38	16	7	15	59	57	2	55
8	Osasuna	38	12	16	10	48	52	-4	52
9	Rayo Vallecano	38	13	13	12	41	45	-4	52
10	Mallorca	38	13	9	16	35	44	-9	48
11	Valencia	38	11	13	14	44	54	-10	46
12	Real Sociedad	38	13	7	18	35	46	-11	46
13	Getafe	38	11	9	18	34	39	-5	42
14	Alaves Alaves	38	10	12	16	38	48	-10	42
15	Espanyol	38	11	9	18	40	51	-11	42
16	Sevilla	38	10	11	17	42	55	-13	41
17	Girona Girona	38	11	8	19	44	60	-16	41
18	Leganes	38	9	13	16	39	56	-17	40
R	Las Palmas Las Palmas	38	8	8	22	40	61	-21	32
R	Real Valladolid Valladolid	38	4	4	30	26	90	-64	16
					> La Liga Full Table