We said: Real Sociedad 1-1 Sevilla
Real Sociedad will do their utmost to stop their focus from wandering towards Thursday's Europa League clash at Old Trafford, but there is ultimately a risk they may have one eye on their return leg against Man United, and we think their balancing act could hinder their chances of claiming all three points.
We ultimately believe Sevilla will do enough to hold their hosts to a draw, especially as they have drawn five of their last eight matches.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
-0.38) 
0.12) 
