La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 22

Feb 2, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna
2 - 1
Real Sociedad

Budimir (34', 74')
Torro (16'), Moreno (45+1'), Budimir (63'), Herrera (70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Oskarsson (90+4')
Zubeldia (39'), Ander Olasagasti (59'), Sucic (90+6'), Sucic (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Las Palmas 1-1 Osasuna
Friday, January 24 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Real Sociedad

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-0 PAOK
Thursday, January 30 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 45.2%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.14%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Real Sociedad
26.5% ( 0.26)	28.29% ( 0.06)	45.2% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 43.83% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.32% (

-0.07)

61.68% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.5% (

-0.05)

81.5% (

0.05)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.28% (

0.19)

39.72% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.6% (

0.17)

76.39% (

-0.18)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.71% (

-0.2)

27.29% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.27% (

-0.26)

62.72% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Osasuna 26.5%

Real Sociedad 45.19%

Draw 28.28%

Osasuna	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 10% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.41% Total : 26.5%	1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.28%	0-1 @ 14.07% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 9.14% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.77% Total : 45.19%