La Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 2, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Osasuna2 - 1Real Sociedad
We said: Osasuna 1-1 Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad are a difficult team to back at the moment, and they will be coming up against draw specialists Osasuna on Sunday; it would not be a shock to see a home or indeed an away success here, but we are expecting the points to be shared in a low-scoring stalemate. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 45.2%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.14%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Real Sociedad |
26.5% ( 0.26) | 28.29% ( 0.06) | 45.2% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 43.83% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
