La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 12, 2025 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Atletico
1 - 0
Osasuna

Alvarez (55')
Simeone (34'), Lino (53'), Simeone (88'), Moreno (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Marbella 0-1 Atletico
Saturday, January 4 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Osasuna

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Tenerife 1-2 Osasuna
Saturday, January 4 at 3.30pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 69.73%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 11.73%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Osasuna
69.73% ( 0)	18.54%	11.73% ( -0)

Both teams to score 47.01% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.94%

44.06% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.55% (

-0)

66.45% (

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.54% (

11.46% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.7% (

36.3%

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.1% (

-0)

46.9% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.59% (

-0)

82.41% (

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 69.72%

Osasuna 11.73%

Draw 18.54%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Osasuna
2-0 @ 12.61% 1-0 @ 11.64% 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 9.11% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.89% 4-0 @ 4.93% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.14% 5-1 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 3.49% Total : 69.72%	1-1 @ 8.82% 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.62% Other @ 0.73% Total : 18.54%	0-1 @ 4.07% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.34% 0-2 @ 1.54% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.87% Total : 11.73%