Real Madrid

4 - 0

Osasuna

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 69%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 13.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-2 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.