La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 24, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Gran Canaria
Las Palmas1 - 1Osasuna
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-1 Las Palmas
Sunday, January 19 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Sunday, January 19 at 3.15pm in La Liga
We said: Las Palmas 1-1 Osasuna
Osasuna have only won once on their travels in La Liga during the 2024-25 campaign, so we are finding it difficult to back them here, even taking into account Las Palmas' recent issues; it would not be a shock to see a victory either way, but we are expecting the points to be shared in a low-scoring draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 48.38%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 25.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Osasuna |
48.38% ( -0.1) | 25.95% ( 0.02) | 25.67% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.6% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
