La Liga | Gameweek 18
Dec 22, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Gran Canaria
Las Palmas1 - 0Espanyol
We said: Las Palmas 2-1 Espanyol
Las Palmas' form since changing managers at the start of October has been terrific, and they will fancy their chances of overcoming an Espanyol side that have lost their last six league games on their travels; we are expecting it to be close in terms of the scoreline, but Las Palmas should have enough to secure all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Las Palmas in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Las Palmas.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Espanyol |
43.11% ( -0.48) | 26.89% ( -0.23) | 30% ( 0.71) |
| Both teams to score 49.71% ( 1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
