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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Apr 6, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
FC Dallas

Atlanta
1 - 1
Dallas

Almiron (17' pen.)
Latte Lath (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Musa (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 4-3 NY City
Saturday, March 29 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Kansas
Sunday, March 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-2 Dallas

While Dallas are unbeaten on their travels, Atlanta's home results have been mixed, as highlighted by two wins, a draw and a loss in four. Nonetheless, that defeat was an 89th-minute concession against Inter Miami, a team with superior individual quality to Dallas. Given that the Bulls have scored in every away match and Atlanta's inclination for end-to-end affairs, Saturday's encounter could end in a tie with both sides finding the net. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atlanta United win with a probability of 51.74%. A win for Dallas has a probability of 25.83% and a draw has a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Dallas win is 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.16%).

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawDallas
51.74% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 22.44% (-0.168 -0.17) 25.83% (0.153 0.15)
Both teams to score 61.24% (0.769 0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.33% (0.947 0.95)38.67% (-0.942 -0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.03% (0.991 0.99)60.97% (-0.989 -0.99)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.89% (0.345 0.34)15.11% (-0.342 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.34% (0.646 0.65)43.66% (-0.642 -0.64)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13% (0.61799999999999 0.62)27.87% (-0.614 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.53% (0.781 0.78)63.47% (-0.77700000000001 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 51.74%
    Dallas 25.83%
    Draw 22.43%
Atlanta UnitedDrawDallas
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.96% (-0.262 -0.26)
2-0 @ 7.52% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.74% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.87% (0.099 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.24% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.068 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.08% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 4%
Total : 51.74%
1-1 @ 10.16% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 6.14% (0.086 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.21% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.43%
1-2 @ 6.5% (0.014 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.38% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.44% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.054 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.08 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 25.83%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Dallas

Atlanta United
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
Dallas
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 1.30am
Dallas
2-2
Atlanta
Arriola (4'), Kamungo (62')
Velasco (53'), Ibeagha (69')
Giakoumakis (44'), Lobzhanidze (58')
Sosa (7'), Giakoumakis (21')
Sep 24, 2020 12am
Apr 20, 2019 9pm
Gameweek 9
Atlanta
1-2
Dallas
Martinez (97' pen.)
Gonzalez Pirez (40'), Larentowicz (61')
Ferreira (6'), Acosta (84')
Hedges (59'), Barrios (63'), Gonzalez (74'), Hayes (96'), Acosta (97')
Jul 5, 2018 1am
Gameweek 21
Dallas
3-2
Atlanta
Ziegler (22'), Akindele (86', 88')
Lamah (14')
Martinez (41', 73')
Escobar (45')
Sep 10, 2017 8.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati107121512322
2Columbus Crew10631148621
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia106131991019
4Charlotte FCCharlotte FC10613168819
5Inter MiamiInter Miami95311610618
6Nashville SCNashville105141913616
7Orlando City104421812616
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls10433119215
9New York City FCNY City104241213-114
10New England RevolutionNew England941477013
11Chicago Fire103341822-412
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta102351119-89
13DC United102351122-119
14Toronto10145814-67
15CF MontrealMontreal10037414-103

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver107212071323
2Portland TimbersPortland105322015518
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd104421210216
4Colorado RapidsColorado104421414016
5Austin FCAustin10514710-316
6Dallas104331414015
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104241516-114
8Seattle SoundersSeattle103431312113
9Real Salt LakeSalt Lake104061115-412
10San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes103162019110
11St Louis City1024478-110
12Houston DynamoHouston102441014-410
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy10037820-123
15San Diego FC00000000


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