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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Apr 6, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
FC Dallas

Atlanta
1 - 1
Dallas

Almiron (17' pen.)
Latte Lath (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Musa (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Dallas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 4-3 NY City
Saturday, March 29 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Kansas
Sunday, March 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-2 Dallas

While Dallas are unbeaten on their travels, Atlanta's home results have been mixed, as highlighted by two wins, a draw and a loss in four. Nonetheless, that defeat was an 89th-minute concession against Inter Miami, a team with superior individual quality to Dallas. Given that the Bulls have scored in every away match and Atlanta's inclination for end-to-end affairs, Saturday's encounter could end in a tie with both sides finding the net. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atlanta United win with a probability of 51.74%. A win for Dallas has a probability of 25.83% and a draw has a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Dallas win is 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.16%).

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawDallas
51.74% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 22.44% (-0.168 -0.17) 25.83% (0.153 0.15)
Both teams to score 61.24% (0.769 0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.33% (0.947 0.95)38.67% (-0.942 -0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.03% (0.991 0.99)60.97% (-0.989 -0.99)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.89% (0.345 0.34)15.11% (-0.342 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.34% (0.646 0.65)43.66% (-0.642 -0.64)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13% (0.61799999999999 0.62)27.87% (-0.614 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.53% (0.781 0.78)63.47% (-0.77700000000001 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 51.74%
    Dallas 25.83%
    Draw 22.43%
Atlanta UnitedDrawDallas
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.96% (-0.262 -0.26)
2-0 @ 7.52% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.74% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.87% (0.099 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.24% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.068 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.08% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 4%
Total : 51.74%
1-1 @ 10.16% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 6.14% (0.086 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.21% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.43%
1-2 @ 6.5% (0.014 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.38% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.44% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.054 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.08 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 25.83%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Dallas

Atlanta United
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
Dallas
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 1.30am
Dallas
2-2
Atlanta
Arriola (4'), Kamungo (62')
Velasco (53'), Ibeagha (69')
Giakoumakis (44'), Lobzhanidze (58')
Sosa (7'), Giakoumakis (21')
Sep 24, 2020 12am
Apr 20, 2019 9pm
Gameweek 9
Atlanta
1-2
Dallas
Martinez (97' pen.)
Gonzalez Pirez (40'), Larentowicz (61')
Ferreira (6'), Acosta (84')
Hedges (59'), Barrios (63'), Gonzalez (74'), Hayes (96'), Acosta (97')
Jul 5, 2018 1am
Gameweek 21
Dallas
3-2
Atlanta
Ziegler (22'), Akindele (86', 88')
Lamah (14')
Martinez (41', 73')
Escobar (45')
Sep 10, 2017 8.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1483324121227
2Columbus Crew147522218426
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati158252121026
4Inter MiamiInter Miami137332619724
5New York City FCNY City157352017324
6Nashville SCNashville146442417722
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC147162218422
8Chicago Fire156452828022
9Orlando City145632518721
10New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146352115621
11New England RevolutionNew England136341510521
12DC United144461526-1116
13Toronto143471619-313
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta153481727-1013
15CF MontrealMontreal141310725-186

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1384124101428
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd1484225131228
3Portland TimbersPortland136432320322
4Seattle SoundersSeattle145542318520
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles135442120119
6Colorado RapidsColorado135441618-219
7San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes145272722517
8Dallas144551522-717
9Austin FCAustin14527817-917
10St Louis City143471118-713
11Houston DynamoHouston143471422-813
12Real Salt LakeSalt Lake144191321-813
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas133281923-411
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy131481229-177
15San Diego FC00000000


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