Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 62.85%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 16.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Pumas win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.