

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 50.84%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Heracles |
| 50.84% ( | 23.61% ( | 25.55% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.66% ( | 44.33% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.29% ( | 66.71% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.5% ( | 17.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52% ( | 48% ( |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.91% ( | 31.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.58% ( | 67.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Heracles |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 1-0 @ 9.48% ( 2-0 @ 8.27% ( 3-1 @ 5.61% ( 3-0 @ 4.8% ( 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 4-1 @ 2.45% ( 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 4-2 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 3.78% Total : 50.84% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 3-3 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0-2 @ 3.71% ( 1-3 @ 2.52% ( 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 25.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 103 | 39 | 64 | 79 |
| 2 | Ajax | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 78 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 68 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 45 | 17 | 64 |
| 5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 57 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 54 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 55 | 2 | 51 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 57 | -15 | 43 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 41 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 41 |
| 12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | Groningen | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 39 |
| 14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 33 |
| 16 | Willem II | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 26 |
| R | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 44 | 74 | -30 | 25 |
| R | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 23 | 64 | -41 | 22 |
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