Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 37.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.86%) and 2-0 (5.02%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 39.69% ( | 22.73% | 37.58% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.54% | 34.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.61% ( | 56.38% |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.96% ( | 18.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.07% ( | 48.93% |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.03% | 18.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.49% ( | 50.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2-1 @ 8.34% 1-0 @ 5.86% 2-0 @ 5.02% ( 3-1 @ 4.76% 3-2 @ 3.96% 3-0 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 2.04% ( 4-2 @ 1.7% 4-0 @ 1.23% 4-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.98% Total : 39.69% | 1-1 @ 9.74% 2-2 @ 6.93% 0-0 @ 3.42% 3-3 @ 2.19% Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.73% | 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0-1 @ 5.69% 0-2 @ 4.73% 1-3 @ 4.49% 2-3 @ 3.84% 0-3 @ 2.62% 1-4 @ 1.86% 2-4 @ 1.6% 0-4 @ 1.09% 3-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.66% Total : 37.58% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 63 | 30 | 33 | 74 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 96 | 37 | 59 | 73 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 65 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 62 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 54 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 53 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 48 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 40 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 39 |
| 10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Groningen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 38 |
| 12 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 38 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 37 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 33 | 54 | -21 | 32 |
| 16 | Willem II | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 25 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 22 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | 62 | -41 | 20 |
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