MX23RW : Monday, April 28 02:00:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PEC Zwolle
Eredivisie | Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
MAC³PARK Stadion
Ajax

PEC Zwolle
0 - 1
Ajax


Thomas (32')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Taylor (61' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PEC Zwolle and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 4-2 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, March 2 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 1-2 Frankfurt
Thursday, March 6 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: PEC Zwolle 0-2 Ajax

While Ajax may be left drained from a tough European battle in midweek, we can only see them extending their dominant run in the Dutch top flight on Sunday thanks to their superior quality at both ends of the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 69.23%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 12.54%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-0 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
PEC ZwolleDrawAjax
12.54% (-0.06 -0.06) 18.22% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06) 69.23% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 50.72% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.48% (0.149 0.15)40.51% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.1% (0.153 0.15)62.89% (-0.15199999999999 -0.15)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)43.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.49% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)79.51% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.39% (0.069999999999993 0.07)10.61% (-0.071 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.59% (0.16 0.16)34.4% (-0.16 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    PEC Zwolle 12.54%
    Ajax 69.22%
    Draw 18.22%
PEC ZwolleDrawAjax
1-0 @ 3.84% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-1 @ 3.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.61% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 12.54%
1-1 @ 8.63% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.59% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 18.22%
0-2 @ 11.54% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 10.29% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.68% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
0-3 @ 8.64% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 7.24% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 4.85% (0.025 0.03)
1-4 @ 4.06% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.03% (0.008 0.01)
0-5 @ 2.18% (0.018 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.82% (0.015 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.7% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 69.22%

How you voted: PEC Zwolle vs Ajax

PEC Zwolle
12.0%
Draw
4.0%
Ajax
84.0%
25
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 13
Ajax
2-0
PEC Zwolle
Brobbey (27'), Sutalo (63')
Hato (43'), Henderson (45'), Wijndal (90+2')

Mbayo (65')
Jul 5, 2024 1pm
Club Friendlies
Ajax
0-1
PEC Zwolle

Baas (80')
Fontana (20')
Mar 31, 2024 11.15am
Gameweek 27
PEC Zwolle
1-3
Ajax
Krastev (72')
Velanas (9'), Lam (38'), Vellios (71'), Garcia McNulty (77')
Hlynsson (12'), Akpom (24', 84')
Mannsverk (50'), Vos (89')
Dec 17, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 16
Ajax
2-2
PEC Zwolle
Brobbey (35', 48')
Berghuis (53')
Thy (60', 89')
Velanas (30'), Garcia McNulty (54'), Vellios (90+2')
Apr 30, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 28
Ajax
3-0
PEC Zwolle
Tadic (30'), Klaassen (51', 80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax31235363273674
2PSV EindhovenPSV30214589345567
3Feyenoord30188468323662
4FC UtrechtUtrecht31188561421962
5FC Twente30139856441248
6AZ AlkmaarAZ30138948341447
7Go Ahead Eagles3013895246647
8Heerenveen31117133953-1440
9Fortuna SittardSittard30106143449-1536
10Sparta RotterdamSparta30811113437-335
11Groningen3098133245-1335
12Heracles30811113752-1535
13NECNijmegen3096154244-233
14NAC BredaNAC Breda3088143250-1832
15PEC Zwolle30710133548-1331
16Willem II3066183050-2024
17Almere CityAlmere City3148192159-3820
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3047193562-2719


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