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Europa League

Ajax
Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 6, 2025 at 8pm UK
Amsterdam ArenA
Eintracht Frankfurt logo

Ajax
1 - 2
Frankfurt

Brobbey (10')
Traore (68'), Henderson (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Larsson (27'), Skhiri (70')
Skhiri (34'), Collins (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ajax and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Almere City 0-1 Ajax
Sunday, March 2 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-4 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, March 1 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.21%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
AjaxDrawEintracht Frankfurt
53.21% (0.067 0.07)22.04% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)24.75% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 61.49% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.18% (0.022999999999996 0.02)37.82% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.93% (0.024999999999999 0.02)60.07% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.67% (0.028999999999996 0.03)14.32% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.84% (0.057000000000002 0.06)42.16% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.77% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)28.23% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.06% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)63.93% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 53.21%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 24.75%
    Draw 22.04%
AjaxDrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 7.86% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.64% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.26% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.95% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.04% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.4% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.92% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 53.21%
1-1 @ 9.94% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.04%
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.23% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 24.75%

How you voted: Ajax vs Frankfurt

Ajax
77.6%
Draw
11.5%
Eintracht Frankfurt
10.9%
183
Head to Head
Jul 23, 2022 2pm
Club Friendlies
Ajax
P-P
Frankfurt