We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 Ajax
After a very impressive performance in the Dutch capital last week, Frankfurt are fancied to progress, but there will be some slight concerns about carrying their poor league form over into Europe.
Ajax have won 10 in a row in the Eredivisie, but after scraping through against Union SG in the last round, this may be one step too far, and their European journey will more than likely come to an end here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 49.96%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.