MX23RW : Thursday, May 1 22:27:15| >> :120:4216:4216:
Europa League | League Stage
Jan 23, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadions Daugava
Ajax

RFS
1 - 0
Ajax

Marhiev (78')
Marhiev (37'), Savaļnieks (55'), Panic (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Rigas Futbola Skola and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: M. Tel Aviv 2-1 RFS
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Heerenveen 0-2 Ajax
Sunday, January 19 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Rigas Futbola Skola 0-2 Ajax

RFS are bidding to keep their slim hopes of last-16 qualification alive, but they will enter Thursday's fixture as underdogs against an Ajax side hoping to strengthen their pursuit of a top-eight finish. The hosts will hope to give a good account of themselves, but we feel that the visitors will ultimately have too much for them in Latvia and should have few problems securing maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 56.89%. A win for Rigas Futbola Skola had a probability of 22.11% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.91%) and 0-1 (7.62%). The likeliest Rigas Futbola Skola win was 2-1 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Rigas Futbola SkolaDrawAjax
22.11% (-3.188 -3.19) 20.99% (-0.34 -0.34) 56.89% (3.528 3.53)
Both teams to score 61.86% (-2.868 -2.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.16% (-1.996 -2)35.84% (1.996 2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.07% (-2.231 -2.23)57.93% (2.231 2.23)
Rigas Futbola Skola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72% (-3.598 -3.6)29.28% (3.598 3.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.76% (-4.65 -4.65)65.24% (4.651 4.65)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.46% (0.37700000000001 0.38)12.54% (-0.376 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.43% (0.778 0.78)38.57% (-0.778 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Rigas Futbola Skola 22.11%
    Ajax 56.9%
    Draw 20.99%
Rigas Futbola SkolaDrawAjax
2-1 @ 5.75% (-0.523 -0.52)
1-0 @ 4.51% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 2.77% (-0.295 -0.3)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.464 -0.46)
3-1 @ 2.35% (-0.489 -0.49)
3-0 @ 1.13% (-0.255 -0.26)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 22.11%
1-1 @ 9.36% (0.135 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.45 -0.45)
0-0 @ 3.67% (0.354 0.35)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.293 -0.29)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 20.99%
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.276 0.28)
0-2 @ 7.91% (0.967 0.97)
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.834 0.83)
1-3 @ 6.73% (0.284 0.28)
0-3 @ 5.48% (0.737 0.74)
2-3 @ 4.13% (-0.248 -0.25)
1-4 @ 3.49% (0.195 0.2)
0-4 @ 2.84% (0.418 0.42)
2-4 @ 2.15% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-5 @ 1.45% (0.101 0.1)
0-5 @ 1.18% (0.188 0.19)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 56.9%

How you voted: RFS vs Ajax

Rigas Futbola Skola
5.9%
Draw
12.9%
Ajax
81.2%
85
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool34257280324882
2Arsenal341813363293467
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341951065442162
4Manchester CityMan City34187966432361
5Chelsea34179859401960
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest341861053411260
7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Fulham34149115046451
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton34131295655151
10Bournemouth3413111053411250
11Brentford34147135850849
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34125175161-1041
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd34109153947-839
15Everton34814123441-738
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs34114196256637
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3499163958-1936
18Ipswich TownIpswich3449213374-4121
19Leicester CityLeicester3446242776-4918
20Southampton3425272580-5511


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!