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Europa League

Europa League | League Stage
Jan 23, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadions Daugava
Ajax

RFS
1 - 0
Ajax

Marhiev (78')
Marhiev (37'), Savaļnieks (55'), Panic (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)

van den Boomen (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Rigas Futbola Skola and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rigas Futbola Skola

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Last Game: M. Tel Aviv 2-1 RFS
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Europa League
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Ajax

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Heerenveen 0-2 Ajax
Sunday, January 19 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 56.89%. A win for Rigas Futbola Skola had a probability of 22.11% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.91%) and 0-1 (7.62%). The likeliest Rigas Futbola Skola win was 2-1 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Rigas Futbola SkolaDrawAjax
22.11% (-3.188 -3.19)20.99% (-0.34 -0.34)56.89% (3.528 3.53)
Both teams to score 61.86% (-2.868 -2.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.16% (-1.996 -2)35.84% (1.996 2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.07% (-2.231 -2.23)57.93% (2.231 2.23)
Rigas Futbola Skola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72% (-3.598 -3.6)29.28% (3.598 3.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.76% (-4.65 -4.65)65.24% (4.651 4.65)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.46% (0.37700000000001 0.38)12.54% (-0.376 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.43% (0.778 0.78)38.57% (-0.778 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Rigas Futbola Skola 22.11%
    Ajax 56.9%
    Draw 20.99%
Rigas Futbola SkolaDrawAjax
2-1 @ 5.75% (-0.523 -0.52)
1-0 @ 4.51% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 2.77% (-0.295 -0.3)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.464 -0.46)
3-1 @ 2.35% (-0.489 -0.49)
3-0 @ 1.13% (-0.255 -0.26)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 22.11%
1-1 @ 9.36% (0.135 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.45 -0.45)
0-0 @ 3.67% (0.354 0.35)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.293 -0.29)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 20.99%
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.276 0.28)
0-2 @ 7.91% (0.967 0.97)
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.834 0.83)
1-3 @ 6.73% (0.284 0.28)
0-3 @ 5.48% (0.737 0.74)
2-3 @ 4.13% (-0.248 -0.25)
1-4 @ 3.49% (0.195 0.2)
0-4 @ 2.84% (0.418 0.42)
2-4 @ 2.15% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-5 @ 1.45% (0.101 0.1)
0-5 @ 1.18% (0.188 0.19)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 56.9%

How you voted: RFS vs Ajax

Rigas Futbola Skola
5.9%
Draw
12.9%
Ajax
81.2%
85
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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