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Europa League

Ajax
Europa League | League Stage
Jan 30, 2025 at 8pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Galatasaray

Ajax
2 - 1
Galatasaray

Traore (23'), Fitz-Jim (58')
Traore (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Osimhen (90+4')
Osimhen (38'), Torreira (53'), Sanchez (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ajax and Galatasaray, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: RFS 1-0 Ajax
Thursday, January 23 at 8pm in Europa League

Galatasaray

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Galatasaray 1-0 Konyaspor
Saturday, January 25 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.05%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 20.22% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 3-1 (7.17%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (5.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match.

Result
AjaxDrawGalatasaray
60.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)19.72% (0.0019999999999989 0)20.22% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 63.61% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.72% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)32.28% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.11% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)53.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)10.57% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.67% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)34.32% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.13%28.87% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)64.73% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 60.05%
    Galatasaray 20.22%
    Draw 19.72%
AjaxDrawGalatasaray
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 6.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.77%
3-2 @ 4.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 4.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.5%
5-1 @ 1.81%
5-0 @ 1.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.13%
4-3 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 60.05%
1-1 @ 8.52% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 3.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 19.72%
1-2 @ 5.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 3.79% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.46%
0-2 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 20.22%

How you voted: Ajax vs Galatasaray

Ajax
36.6%
Draw
30.3%
Galatasaray
33.1%
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