We said: Ajax 1-1 Galatasaray
With two European heavyweights clashing in Amsterdam, we are expecting a hard-fought affair between Ajax and Galatasaray on Thursday night.
Cimbom will be desperate to earn three points but will also be cautious of losing their unbeaten status, so a share of the points seems to be the most likely outcome.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.05%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 20.22% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 3-1 (7.17%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (5.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match.