

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 54.29%. A win for Feyenoord had a probability of 23.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Feyenoord win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 54.29% ( | 22.11% ( | 23.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.64% ( | 39.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.3% ( | 61.7% ( |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.49% ( | 14.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.49% ( | 42.51% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.02% ( | 29.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.9% ( | 66.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 1-0 @ 8.4% ( 2-0 @ 8.11% ( 3-1 @ 6.28% ( 3-0 @ 5.22% ( 3-2 @ 3.79% ( 4-1 @ 3.03% ( 4-0 @ 2.52% ( 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 5-1 @ 1.17% ( 5-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 3.22% Total : 54.29% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0-0 @ 4.35% ( 3-3 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.1% | 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0-1 @ 5.24% ( 0-2 @ 3.16% ( 1-3 @ 2.45% ( 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0-3 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 3.04% Total : 23.6% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 63 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 55 |
| 3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 49 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 46 |
| 5 | Feyenoord | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 44 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 43 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 41 |
| 8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 30 |
| 10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 29 |
| 11 | Groningen | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 28 |
| 12 | Heracles | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 27 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 26 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 25 |
| 15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 16 | Willem II | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 24 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 17 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 15 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
