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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Dec 15, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Amsterdam ArenA

Ajax
3 - 0
Almere City

Weghorst (12'), Taylor (40'), Fitz-Jim (55')
Rensch (57')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Jacobs (50'), Kadile (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 1-3 Lazio
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Europa League

Almere City

All competitions
Last Game: Almere City 1-3 Utrecht
Sunday, December 8 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 3-0 Almere City

 Despite Ajax's slight dip in form this month, it is difficult to see them losing this match, against an Almere City that are winless on the road this season and have failed to score a single goal in their last three outings. The hosts have already notched up seven wins in eight at the Johan Cruijff Arena this term and we feel they will add another three points to that tally in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 82.48%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 5.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.09%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.67%), while for an Almere City win it was 0-1 (2.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
AjaxDrawAlmere City
82.48% (0.209 0.21) 11.92% (-0.087 -0.09) 5.6% (-0.118 -0.12)
Both teams to score 42.82% (-0.47 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.03% (-0.149 -0.15)33.97% (0.153 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.17% (-0.17 -0.17)55.83% (0.174 0.17)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.87% (0.012 0.01)6.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.74% (0.027000000000001 0.03)23.26% (-0.023 -0.02)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.62% (-0.503 -0.5)54.39% (0.508 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.49% (-0.309 -0.31)87.51% (0.313 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 82.47%
    Almere City 5.6%
    Draw 11.93%
AjaxDrawAlmere City
2-0 @ 12.99% (0.11 0.11)
3-0 @ 12.09% (0.12 0.12)
1-0 @ 9.31% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
4-0 @ 8.44% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.92% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-1 @ 7.37% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 5.14% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-0 @ 4.71% (0.049 0.05)
5-1 @ 2.87% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.048 -0.05)
6-0 @ 2.19% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.033 -0.03)
6-1 @ 1.34% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 82.47%
1-1 @ 5.67% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.34% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 2.41% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 11.93%
0-1 @ 2.03% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-2 @ 1.73% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 5.6%

How you voted: Ajax vs Almere City

Ajax
84.6%
Draw
11.5%
Almere City
3.8%
26
Head to Head
May 12, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 33
Ajax
3-0
Almere City
Bergwijn (29', 34', 38')
Mannsverk (26'), Kaplan (45+3'), Hato (62')

Akujobi (10'), van Bruggen (52')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 12
Almere City
2-2
Ajax
Ritmeester van de Kamp (67'), Robinet (90+3' pen.)
Jacobs (7'), van Bruggen (15'), Robinet (15'), Resink (75'), Koopmeiners (90+5')
Akpom (68'), Tahirovic (82')
Brobbey (15'), Rensch (90+1')
> Preview
Jul 31, 2022 1pm
Club Friendlies
Almere City
1-1
Ajax
Jacobs (47')
Brobbey (35')
Fitz-Jim (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax24193252183460
2PSV EindhovenPSV24164473294452
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2413744336746
4Feyenoord24128448272144
5FC Twente24127549311843
6AZ AlkmaarAZ24134740241643
7Go Ahead Eagles2411584338538
8Heerenveen2486103043-1330
9Fortuna SittardSittard2485113142-1129
10Groningen2477102333-1028
11Heracles246993245-1327
12NAC BredaNAC Breda2483132642-1627
13NECNijmegen2475123434026
14PEC Zwolle2467112939-1025
15Willem II2466122638-1224
16Sparta RotterdamSparta2458112333-1023
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2445153249-1717
18Almere CityAlmere City2435161548-3314
> Eredivisie Full Table


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