We said: Ajax 2-1 FC Utrecht
While Utrecht are enjoying a very impressive run of form this season, Ajax have yet to drop a point at home, both domestically and in Europe, and we feel the hosts will be able to keep that record intact with another win in midweek.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 17.48%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.