

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for NEC had a probability of 36.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | FC Utrecht | 
| 36.7% (  0.45) | 25.27% (  0.23) | 38.03% (  -0.68) | 
| Both teams to score 56.79% (  -0.78) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 53.09% (  -1.02) | 46.9% (  1.01) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 30.84% (  -0.95) | 69.15% (  0.95) | 
| NEC Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75% (  -0.22) | 25% (  0.22) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.34% (  -0.3) | 59.66% (  0.3) | 
| FC Utrecht Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.72% (  -0.81) | 24.28% (  0.81) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.35% (  -1.17) | 58.65% (  1.16) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| NEC | Draw | FC Utrecht | 
| 1-0 @ 8.42% (  0.3) 2-1 @ 8.26% (  0.05) 2-0 @ 5.83% (  0.17) 3-1 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 2.7% (  -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.7% (  0.06) 4-1 @ 1.32% (  -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% (  -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.93% (  0.02) Other @ 1.8% Total : 36.7% | 1-1 @ 11.91% (  0.15) 0-0 @ 6.07% (  0.25) 2-2 @ 5.84% (  -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.27% (  -0.06) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 8.59% (  0.16) 1-2 @ 8.43% (  -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.08% (  -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.98% (  -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.87% (  -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.76% (  -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.41% (  -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.02% (  -0.06) 2-4 @ 0.98% (  -0.07) Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.03% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 63 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 55 | 
| 3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 49 | 
| 4 | FC Twente | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 46 | 
| 5 | Feyenoord | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 44 | 
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 43 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 41 | 
| 8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 | 
| 9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 30 | 
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 29 | 
| 11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 29 | 
| 12 | Groningen | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 28 | 
| 13 | Heracles | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 27 | 
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 25 | 
| 15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 | 
| 16 | Willem II | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 24 | 
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 17 | 
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 15 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
