

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for NEC had a probability of 36.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 36.7% ( | 25.27% ( | 38.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.79% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.09% ( | 46.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.84% ( | 69.15% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75% ( | 25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.34% ( | 59.66% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.72% ( | 24.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.35% ( | 58.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 1-0 @ 8.42% ( 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 2-0 @ 5.83% ( 3-1 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 3-0 @ 2.7% ( 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 4-0 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.8% Total : 36.7% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 3-3 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 8.59% ( 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0-2 @ 6.08% ( 1-3 @ 3.98% ( 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 2-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.03% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 63 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 55 |
| 3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 49 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 46 |
| 5 | Feyenoord | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 44 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 43 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 41 |
| 8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 30 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 29 |
| 11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 29 |
| 12 | Groningen | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 28 |
| 13 | Heracles | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 27 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 25 |
| 15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 16 | Willem II | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 24 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 17 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 15 |
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