

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | RKC Waalwijk | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 4 | 8 | 10 |
| 2 | Ajax | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 3 | Heerenveen | 4 | 5 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 17.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.21%) and 0-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 2-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Ajax |
| 17.36% ( | 19.62% ( | 63.02% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.39% ( | 36.61% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.24% ( | 58.76% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.65% ( | 34.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.94% ( | 71.06% ( |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.9% ( | 11.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.51% ( | 35.49% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 4.78% ( 1-0 @ 4.07% ( 2-0 @ 2.18% ( 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 3-1 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 17.36% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0-0 @ 3.81% ( 3-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.62% | 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0-2 @ 9.21% ( 0-1 @ 8.38% ( 1-3 @ 7.21% ( 0-3 @ 6.75% ( 1-4 @ 3.97% ( 2-3 @ 3.85% ( 0-4 @ 3.71% ( 2-4 @ 2.12% ( 1-5 @ 1.74% ( 0-5 @ 1.63% ( 2-5 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 3.66% Total : 63.02% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 81 | 29 | 52 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 87 | 39 | 48 | 72 |
| 3 | Ajax | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 85 | 35 | 50 | 69 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 67 | 33 | 34 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 61 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 56 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 52 | 48 | 4 | 51 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 43 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 41 |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 40 |
| 11 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 38 |
| 12 | Vitesse | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 37 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 35 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 33 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 68 | -38 | 32 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 28 |
| R | Groningen | 33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 31 | 70 | -39 | 18 |
| R | Cambuur | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 22 | 69 | -47 | 16 |
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