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FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2022 at 11.15am UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
Ajax
Utrecht
0 - 2
Ajax

Boussaid (54'), Dost (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Berghuis (10'), Brobbey (45+1')
Maduro (35'), Rensch (36'), Tadic (70')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 0-1 Ajax
Sunday, August 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 0-2 Ajax

While Utrecht will be looking to get their league campaign up and running, next up is the stern test of taking on the reigning champions whose last league defeat came back in February. We predict a one-sided affair at the Stadion Galgenwaard with Ajax coming away with a comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 17.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.21%) and 0-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 2-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawAjax
17.36% (0.683 0.68) 19.62% (0.69 0.69) 63.02% (-1.366 -1.37)
Both teams to score 58.36% (-1.073 -1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.39% (-2.06 -2.06)36.61% (2.065 2.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.24% (-2.28 -2.28)58.76% (2.286 2.29)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.65% (-0.505 -0.5)34.35% (0.511 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.94% (-0.546 -0.55)71.06% (0.55200000000001 0.55)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.9% (-0.93600000000001 -0.94)11.1% (0.942 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.51% (-2.106 -2.11)35.49% (2.11 2.11)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 17.36%
    Ajax 63.02%
    Draw 19.62%
FC UtrechtDrawAjax
2-1 @ 4.78% (0.171 0.17)
1-0 @ 4.07% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 2.18% (0.159 0.16)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.7% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 17.36%
1-1 @ 8.95% (0.438 0.44)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.81% (0.375 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 19.62%
1-2 @ 9.84% (0.105 0.1)
0-2 @ 9.21% (0.223 0.22)
0-1 @ 8.38% (0.52 0.52)
1-3 @ 7.21% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-3 @ 6.75% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-4 @ 3.97% (-0.281 -0.28)
2-3 @ 3.85% (-0.168 -0.17)
0-4 @ 3.71% (-0.208 -0.21)
2-4 @ 2.12% (-0.182 -0.18)
1-5 @ 1.74% (-0.198 -0.2)
0-5 @ 1.63% (-0.161 -0.16)
2-5 @ 0.93% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 63.02%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Ajax

FC Utrecht
9.6%
Draw
13.5%
Ajax
76.9%
52
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 11.15am
Utrecht
0-3
Ajax

Maher (20'), Boussaid (45+1')
Antony (5'), Brobbey (19', 45+2')
Mazraoui (65')
Oct 3, 2021 1.30pm
Ajax
0-1
Utrecht
Warmerdam (77')
van der Maarel (38'), Paes (63'), Maher (67'), Maduro (79')
Apr 22, 2021 5.45pm
Ajax
1-1
Utrecht
Alvarez (70')
Kudus (53'), Tagliafico (87')
Gustafson (13' pen.)
Nov 8, 2020 11.15am
Utrecht
0-3
Ajax
Klaassen (62'), Tadic (71' pen.), Promes (90+1')
Tadic (65')
Apr 9, 2020 6.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CFeyenoord33257181295282
2PSV EindhovenPSV33226587394872
3Ajax33209485355069
4AZ AlkmaarAZ33207667333467
5FC Twente331710663263761
6Sparta RotterdamSparta33168955371856
7FC UtrechtUtrecht33149105248451
8Heerenveen331110124250-843
9RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk33118145060-1041
10Go Ahead Eagles331010134654-840
11NECNijmegen33814114144-338
12Vitesse33910144450-637
13Fortuna SittardSittard33105183861-2335
14FC VolendamVolendam3396183969-3033
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior3395193068-3832
16EmmenEmmen33610173162-3128
RGroningen3346233170-3918
RCambuur3344252269-4716

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