| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
| 7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 22 | 61 |
| 6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 |
| 7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Vitesse |
| 44.03% ( | 25.07% ( | 30.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.93% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.65% ( | 47.35% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.43% ( | 69.57% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.48% ( | 21.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.43% ( | 54.57% ( |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.26% ( | 28.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.42% ( | 64.58% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Vitesse |
| 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 2-0 @ 7.3% ( 3-1 @ 4.66% 3-0 @ 3.74% ( 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 44.03% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 3-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 7.71% ( 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0-2 @ 4.81% ( 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0-3 @ 2% ( 1-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.9% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 52 | 51 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 39 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 33 |
| 5 | Ajax | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 28 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 22 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 20 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 19 |
| 12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 18 |
| 14 | Heracles | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 18 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 17 |
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 14 |
| 17 | Vitesse | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
