

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 22 | 61 | 
| 6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 | 
| 7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Vitesse | 33 | -9 | 50 | 
| 7 | FC Utrecht | 33 | 8 | 47 | 
| 8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | FC Utrecht | 
| 44.22% (  -0.88) | 24.4% (  0.05) | 31.38% (  0.83) | 
| Both teams to score 58.46% (  0.24) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 55.86% (  0.13) | 44.14% (  -0.13) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 33.48% (  0.13) | 66.52% (  -0.12) | 
| Vitesse Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.9% (  -0.33) | 20.1% (  0.33) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.66% (  -0.53) | 52.34% (  0.53) | 
| FC Utrecht Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.16% (  0.6) | 26.84% (  -0.6) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.85% (  0.78) | 62.14% (  -0.78) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Vitesse | Draw | FC Utrecht | 
| 2-1 @ 9.13% (  -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.66% (  -0.14) 2-0 @ 6.95% (  -0.18) 3-1 @ 4.89% (  -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.71% (  -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.21% (  -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.96% (  -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.49% (  -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.29% (  -0.02) Other @ 2.94% Total : 44.22% | 1-1 @ 11.38% (  0.01) 2-2 @ 6.01% (  0.05) 0-0 @ 5.39% (  -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.41% (  0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.39% | 1-2 @ 7.49% (  0.13) 0-1 @ 7.1% (  0.08) 0-2 @ 4.67% (  0.13) 1-3 @ 3.28% (  0.11) 2-3 @ 2.63% (  0.06) 0-3 @ 2.05% (  0.09) 1-4 @ 1.08% (  0.05) Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.38% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 52 | 51 | 
| 2 | Feyenoord | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 39 | 
| 3 | FC Twente | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 37 | 
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 33 | 
| 5 | Ajax | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 28 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 23 | 
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 22 | 
| 9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 20 | 
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 19 | 
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 19 | 
| 12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 19 | 
| 13 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 18 | 
| 14 | Heracles | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 18 | 
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 17 | 
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 14 | 
| 17 | Vitesse | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 | 
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 | 
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