

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 65.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 16.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 1-3 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Willem II win it was 2-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 16.18% ( | 18.23% ( | 65.59% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.91% ( | 32.09% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.33% ( | 53.67% ( |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.14% ( | 32.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.56% ( | 69.44% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.81% ( | 9.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 68.88% ( | 31.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Willem II | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 4.46% ( 1-0 @ 3.36% ( 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 2-0 @ 1.87% ( 3-1 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 2.86% Total : 16.18% | 1-1 @ 8.02% ( 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0-0 @ 3.02% ( 3-3 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 0.29% Total : 18.23% | 1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0-2 @ 8.61% ( 1-3 @ 7.62% ( 0-1 @ 7.21% ( 0-3 @ 6.85% ( 1-4 @ 4.55% ( 2-3 @ 4.24% ( 0-4 @ 4.09% ( 2-4 @ 2.53% ( 1-5 @ 2.17% ( 0-5 @ 1.95% ( 2-5 @ 1.21% ( 3-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 4.06% Total : 65.59% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 63 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 55 |
| 3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 49 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 46 |
| 5 | Feyenoord | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 44 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 43 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 41 |
| 8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 30 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 29 |
| 11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 29 |
| 12 | Groningen | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 28 |
| 13 | Heracles | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 27 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 25 |
| 15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 16 | Willem II | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 24 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 17 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 15 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
