

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Willem II |
| 42.86% ( | 24% ( | 33.12% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.59% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.34% ( | 41.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.94% ( | 64.06% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.33% ( | 19.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.35% ( | 51.65% ( |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.42% ( | 24.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.93% ( | 59.07% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Willem II |
| 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 2-0 @ 6.39% ( 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 3-0 @ 3.47% ( 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 4-2 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 3.13% Total : 42.87% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0-0 @ 4.83% ( 3-3 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 7.74% ( 0-1 @ 6.78% ( 0-2 @ 4.76% ( 1-3 @ 3.62% ( 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0-3 @ 2.23% ( 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 2-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 33.12% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 63 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 55 |
| 3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 49 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 46 |
| 5 | Feyenoord | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 44 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 43 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 41 |
| 8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 30 |
| 10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 29 |
| 11 | Groningen | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 28 |
| 12 | Heracles | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 27 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 26 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 25 |
| 15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 16 | Willem II | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 24 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 17 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 15 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
