

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 17.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 1-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 62.3% ( | 20.07% ( | 17.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.74% ( | 38.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.47% ( | 60.53% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.22% ( | 11.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.03% ( | 36.97% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.95% ( | 35.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.2% ( | 71.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 2-0 @ 9.44% ( 1-0 @ 8.83% ( 3-1 @ 7.06% ( 3-0 @ 6.73% ( 4-1 @ 3.78% ( 3-2 @ 3.7% ( 4-0 @ 3.6% ( 4-2 @ 1.98% ( 5-1 @ 1.62% ( 5-0 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 4.12% Total : 62.3% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 3-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.07% | 1-2 @ 4.85% ( 0-1 @ 4.33% ( 0-2 @ 2.27% ( 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 1-3 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 17.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 74 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 93 | 35 | 58 | 70 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 72 | 33 | 39 | 65 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 50 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
| 9 | Groningen | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 38 |
| 10 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 38 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 36 |
| 12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 34 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 34 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 32 |
| 16 | Willem II | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 25 |
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 20 |
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 19 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
