

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 52.04% ( | 22.38% ( | 25.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.16% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.35% ( | 38.65% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.04% ( | 60.96% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85% ( | 15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.55% ( | 43.45% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.95% ( | 28.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.29% ( | 63.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 1-0 @ 7.98% ( 2-0 @ 7.57% ( 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 3-0 @ 4.79% ( 3-2 @ 3.87% ( 4-1 @ 2.89% ( 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 4-2 @ 1.84% ( 5-1 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 4.04% Total : 52.04% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0-0 @ 4.21% ( 3-3 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.38% | 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0-1 @ 5.35% ( 0-2 @ 3.4% ( 1-3 @ 2.73% ( 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 3.61% Total : 25.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 63 | 30 | 33 | 74 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 96 | 37 | 59 | 73 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 65 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 62 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 54 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 53 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 48 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 40 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 39 |
| 10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Groningen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 38 |
| 12 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 38 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 37 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 33 | 54 | -21 | 32 |
| 16 | Willem II | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 25 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 22 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | 62 | -41 | 20 |
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