

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 57.37%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 21.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 1-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles | 
| 57.37% (  0.58) | 21.17% (  -0.24) | 21.46% (  -0.33) | 
| Both teams to score 60.22% (  0.37) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 62.44% (  0.71) | 37.56% (  -0.7) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 40.21% (  0.76) | 59.79% (  -0.75) | 
| AZ Alkmaar Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 87.05% (  0.41) | 12.95% (  -0.4) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.57% (  0.82) | 39.43% (  -0.81) | 
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.18% (  0.11) | 30.82% (  -0.1) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.91% (  0.12) | 67.09% (  -0.12) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles | 
| 2-1 @ 9.81% (  -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.34% (  -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.16% (  -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.69% (  0.09) 3-0 @ 5.68% (  0.06) 3-2 @ 3.94% (  0.07) 4-1 @ 3.42% (  0.1) 4-0 @ 2.9% (  0.08) 4-2 @ 2.01% (  0.06) 5-1 @ 1.4% (  0.06) 5-0 @ 1.19% (  0.05) Other @ 3.84% Total : 57.37% | 1-1 @ 9.6% (  -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.78% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 3.99% (  -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.54% (  0.03) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.17% | 1-2 @ 5.65% (  -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.7% (  -0.15) 0-2 @ 2.77% (  -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.27% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 2.22% (  -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.09% (  -0.03) Other @ 2.78% Total : 21.46% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 62 | 26 | 36 | 73 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 86 | 33 | 53 | 64 | 
| 3 | Feyenoord | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 64 | 32 | 32 | 59 | 
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 59 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 55 | 41 | 14 | 48 | 
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 46 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 46 | 
| 8 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 37 | 
| 9 | Heracles | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 | 
| 10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 34 | 
| 11 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 33 | 
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 33 | 
| 13 | Groningen | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 32 | 
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 31 | 
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 31 | 
| 16 | Willem II | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 24 | 
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 19 | 
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 19 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
