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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 55.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.45%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-0 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
20.3% (![]() | 23.85% (![]() | 55.84% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.57% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.18% (![]() | 50.82% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.29% (![]() | 72.71% (![]() |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.49% (![]() | 39.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.8% (![]() | 76.2% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.95% (![]() | 18.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.05% (![]() | 48.94% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
1-0 @ 6.62% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.26% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.07% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 1.37% Total : 20.3% | 1-1 @ 11.33% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.13% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.51% ( ![]() Other @ 0.88% Total : 23.85% | 0-1 @ 12.2% 0-2 @ 10.45% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.71% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.97% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.54% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.57% 0-4 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 3.37% Total : 55.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 57 | 20 | 37 | 67 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 78 | 32 | 46 | 58 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 52 |
4 | Feyenoord | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 57 | 31 | 26 | 50 |
5 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 46 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 45 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 44 |
8 | Groningen | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 32 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 32 |
10 | Heracles | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
11 | Heerenveen | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 31 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 30 |
13 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 30 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 29 |
15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 28 |
16 | Willem II | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 24 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 50 | -32 | 18 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 17 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |