Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.35%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 33.64% ( | 23.62% ( | 42.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.16% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.33% ( | 39.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.98% ( | 62.02% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.66% ( | 23.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.7% ( | 57.3% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.09% ( | 18.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.6% ( | 50.39% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 7.78% ( 1-0 @ 6.42% ( 2-0 @ 4.67% ( 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 3-0 @ 2.27% ( 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 4-2 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 3.08% Total : 33.64% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 3-3 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.62% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0-2 @ 6.12% ( 1-3 @ 4.95% ( 2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0-3 @ 3.4% ( 1-4 @ 2.06% ( 2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0-4 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 3.44% Total : 42.73% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 74 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 93 | 35 | 58 | 70 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 72 | 33 | 39 | 65 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 50 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
| 9 | Groningen | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 38 |
| 10 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 38 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 35 | 53 | -18 | 36 |
| 12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 34 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 34 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 32 |
| 16 | Willem II | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 25 |
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 20 |
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 19 |
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